There’s a lot of celebration over our falling crime rate. Even Steve Sailer suggests the LA Riots may have fostered serious introspection in the black community over violent trends. Of course, this doesn’t square with recent phenomena like the flash mob riots and the like.
What if things are getting worse in the sense of more shootings and other aggravated assaults, but medical technology is saving lives that would have been murders only five or ten years ago? What if we’re having a moral meltdown masked by the resources and skill of the medical profession?
Consider the graph below re: shooting and homicide statistics in San Francisco. While shootings are up, up, and up, deaths are steady. A higher proportion of shooting victims are surviving. But they’re still shot, and it’s still a pretty serious thing to be shot, and even survivors are often bound to wheelchairs or otherwise out of commission.
Dave Grossman discussed this in his book On Killing a few years ago. It’s always worth keeping in mind when homicide–the rarest of crimes–is discussed. Many aggravated assaults would have been murders until very recently, and they’ve not fallen nearly as much.