I stumbled upon this interesting military intelligence report issued this week that identifies Mexico and Pakistan as potentially serious candidates for meltdown, viz.:
EL PASO — Mexico is one of two countries that “bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse,” according to a report by the U.S. Joint Forces Command on worldwide security threats.
The command’s “Joint Operating Environment (JOE 2008)” report, which contains projections of global threats and potential next wars, puts Pakistan on the same level as Mexico. “In terms of worse-case scenarios for the Joint Force and indeed the world, two large and important states bear consideration for a rapid and sudden collapse: Pakistan and Mexico.
“The Mexican possibility may seem less likely, but the government, its politicians, police and judicial infrastructure are all under sustained assault and pressure by criminal gangs and drug cartels. How that internal conflict turns out over the next several years will have a major impact on the stability of the Mexican state. Any descent by Mexico into chaos would demand an American response based on the serious implications for homeland security alone.”The Joint Forces Command in Norfolk, Va., is a Defense Department combat command that includes different military service branches, active and reserves. One of its roles is to transform the military’s capabilities.
What has President Obama done or said that gives us any indication of what he would do in the event of either of these dangerous scenarios? I have no idea. Perhaps he’ll wing it, learn quick, and put his legacy and common sense above the knee-jerk pacifism of the Democratic Party. Perhaps he’ll ignore the problem until it’s much worse.
The economy is very bad, and dealing with it should be a priority of individuals as well as our political leaders. But the economy impacts international events; it destabilizes poorer countries even more severely than our own. And these destabilizations lead such countries sometimes to take desperate actions that may or may not impact our interests, depending how such interests are defined. Recall that debt service obligations by the various Gulf States were one factor in Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990.
Obama, like Bush and McCain, has largely embraced the “international stability” agenda of international elites. Unfortunately, this point of view does little to distinguish events that matter from those that are best left to be resolved naturally and without U.S. interference. Coupled with the “citizen of the world” claptrap we heard in his inaugural address and his European-pandering decision to shut down Guantanamo, there is much cause for concdern.